Home › 2026 Midterms › 2026 House Toss-Up Races

2026 House Toss-Up Races: The 18 Districts That Could Decide the House

Facts checked Oct. 31, 2026 · Jamoke News does not project winners or call races; results link to the AP.

The Cook Political Report rates 18 U.S. House races as toss-ups for the Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026 midterms. Below they are grouped by state, shown as Cook labels them: the district and its incumbent, or “Open” with the departing member in parentheses.

The overall House picture

All 435 seats are up and 218 are needed for a majority. Cook’s Oct. 30 ratings count 222 seats as at least leaning Democratic, 195 as at least leaning Republican and 18 as toss-ups.

Sources: Cook Political Report House ratings, Oct. 30, 2026

All 18 House toss-ups, by state

• California (1): CA-22 Valadao
• Colorado (1): CO-05 Crank
• Florida (2): FL-14 Castor; FL-22 Open (Frankel)
• Iowa (1): IA-02 Open (Hinson) · Iowa guide
• Kentucky (1): KY-06 Open (Barr)
• Michigan (3): MI-04 Huizenga; MI-07 Barrett; MI-10 Open (James) · Michigan guide
• Montana (1): MT-01 Open (Zinke)
• New York (1): NY-17 Lawler
• North Carolina (1): NC-01 Davis · North Carolina guide
• Ohio (1): OH-07 Miller · Ohio guide
• Pennsylvania (1): PA-01 Fitzpatrick
• South Carolina (1): SC-01 Open (Mace)
• Texas (2): TX-15 De La Cruz; TX-35 Open (Casar) · Texas guide
• Virginia (1): VA-01 Wittman

Sources: Cook Political Report House ratings, Oct. 30, 2026

When to watch

Polls close between 6 p.m. ET and 1 a.m. ET. Toss-up seats in Kentucky, Virginia, Florida, South Carolina and North Carolina sit in early-closing states; California, Montana and Iowa come later. Poll closing times by state · When will we know the results? · Senate balance of power

Follow the count: AP live results · Jamoke News midterm hub (headlines refresh every 30 minutes).