96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model
1 outlet (The Hill) is covering this story.
- The Hill reports: “Recently updated election models from Harvard University forecast a strong chance of Democrats winning a majority of seats in the House and the Senate in the midterm elections. The chances of Democ…”
Read the full coverage
Top political stories right now
Updated Nov 3, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
- Michigan voters make surprising cross-party choices as Rogers, El-Sayed race reaches final hours 11 outlets
- U.S. Military Strikes Iran’s Qeshm Island in What U.S. Officials Call a Defensive Measure 4 outlets
- LISTEN LIVE: Supreme Court hears case on Catholic preschools and LGBTQ families 4 outlets
- Trump Says U.S. to End $4 Billion in Aid to Israel at End of Year 3 outlets
- Will ranked choice voting affect timing of Maine and Alaska's Senate race results? Here's what we know 3 outlets
Related coverage
- Democrats could learn wrong message from a blowout victory 1 outlet
- 10 Senate seats most likely to flip on Election Day 1 outlet
- Mike Rogers claims he's ahead by 7 percent on ballots returned so far ‘by our models’ 1 outlet
- Are the US midterms going to see a blue wave of Democrats winning seats – or a blue flood? 1 outlet
- Judge dismisses Trump administration's Harvard lawsuit 2 outlets
More top stories from Tuesday, November 3, 2026
- Trump Says U.S. to End $4 Billion in Aid to Israel at End of Year 5 outlets
- Voters decide key ballot measures on abortion rights, congressional redistricting and voter ID laws 2 outlets
- Americans vote in battle for Senate and House control— live updates 2 outlets
- California voters consider proposition to tax billionaires' wealth 2 outlets
- Live Results: South Carolina Senate midterm election 2 outlets
All political stories from Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · Today’s top stories